Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shin Hwa Dynamics Co., Ltd. (001770.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$58,651.68 - $110,778.42$79,769.08
Multi-Stage$79,893.19 - $87,800.57$83,771.37
Blended Fair Value$81,770.22
Current Price$18,710.00
Upside337.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-3.97%99.9199.9199.9199.9199.9199.9199.91249.78349.69199.82
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-60.00%-28.57%75.00%33.33%
Dividend Yield--0.67%0.52%0.30%0.32%0.42%0.62%0.44%1.14%1.34%1.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,667.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)121.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,545.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)933.42583.38350.03
Cash Retained (M)4,545.594,545.594,545.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-933.42-583.38-350.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,612.173,962.204,195.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1.221.221.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,970.633,258.503,450.41
LTM Dividend per Share99.9199.9199.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,970.633,258.503,450.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,070.543,358.413,550.32
WACC / Discount Rate6.98%6.98%6.98%
Growth Rate1.66%2.66%3.66%
Fair Value$58,651.68$79,769.08$110,778.42
Upside / Downside213.48%326.34%492.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,667.084,791.354,918.935,049.915,184.375,322.425,482.09
Payout Ratio2.60%20.08%37.56%55.04%72.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)121.49962.221,847.642,779.533,759.744,790.185,070.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.98%6.98%6.98%
Growth Rate1.66%2.66%3.66%
Year 1 PV (M)890.64899.40908.16
Year 2 PV (M)1,582.961,614.251,645.85
Year 3 PV (M)2,204.192,269.882,336.86
Year 4 PV (M)2,759.702,869.902,983.36
Year 5 PV (M)3,254.483,417.723,587.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)86,455.0090,791.5295,300.35
Equity Value (M)97,146.97101,862.67106,762.03
Shares Outstanding (M)1.221.221.22
Fair Value$79,893.19$83,771.37$87,800.57
Upside / Downside327.01%347.74%369.27%

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