Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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JWIPC Technology Co., Ltd. (001339.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.07 - $7.35$6.18
Multi-Stage$8.52 - $9.35$8.93
Blended Fair Value$7.55
Current Price$59.83
Upside-87.37%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.220.050.010.010.000.000.020.000.000.00
YoY Growth--376.54%340.42%22.37%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.43%0.15%0.04%0.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)173.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)59.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)114.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)34.7321.7113.03
Cash Retained (M)114.65114.65114.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-34.73-21.71-13.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)79.9292.94101.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)249.30249.30249.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.320.370.41
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.320.370.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.560.610.64
WACC / Discount Rate8.77%8.77%8.77%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.07$6.18$7.35
Upside / Downside-91.52%-89.67%-87.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)173.67171.93170.21168.51166.83165.16170.11
Payout Ratio33.98%45.19%56.39%67.59%78.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)59.0277.6995.98113.90131.45148.64157.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.77%8.77%8.77%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)70.7171.4372.15
Year 2 PV (M)79.5081.1482.78
Year 3 PV (M)85.8788.5291.23
Year 4 PV (M)90.1993.9397.78
Year 5 PV (M)92.8297.65102.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,704.241,792.991,885.39
Equity Value (M)2,123.342,225.662,332.03
Shares Outstanding (M)249.30249.30249.30
Fair Value$8.52$8.93$9.35
Upside / Downside-85.76%-85.08%-84.37%

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