Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Zhejiang Weigang Technology Co., Ltd. (001256.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$104.44 - $123.10$115.34
Multi-Stage$67.32 - $74.04$70.62
Blended Fair Value$92.98
Current Price$22.36
Upside315.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS14.81%0.00%0.200.170.070.011.630.100.100.000.000.00
YoY Growth--16.90%126.67%484.48%-99.22%1,554.20%2.11%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.69%1.11%0.38%0.06%8.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)91.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)28.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)62.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.2311.396.84
Cash Retained (M)62.4262.4262.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.23-11.39-6.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)44.1951.0355.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)143.93143.93143.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.310.350.39
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.310.350.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.510.550.59
WACC / Discount Rate1.51%1.51%1.51%
Growth Rate3.07%4.07%5.07%
Fair Value$104.44$115.34$123.10
Upside / Downside367.08%415.83%450.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)91.1694.8698.72102.74106.92111.26114.60
Payout Ratio31.52%43.22%54.91%66.61%78.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)28.7441.0054.2168.4383.72100.14106.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.51%1.51%1.51%
Growth Rate3.07%4.07%5.07%
Year 1 PV (M)40.0040.3940.78
Year 2 PV (M)51.6052.6153.62
Year 3 PV (M)63.5565.4267.32
Year 4 PV (M)75.8578.8481.91
Year 5 PV (M)88.5292.9097.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,370.649,834.1310,315.79
Equity Value (M)9,690.1610,164.2810,656.87
Shares Outstanding (M)143.93143.93143.93
Fair Value$67.32$70.62$74.04
Upside / Downside201.09%215.82%231.13%

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