Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Hisense Home Appliances Group Co., Ltd. (000921.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$57.19 - $150.81$87.29
Multi-Stage$38.20 - $41.79$39.96
Blended Fair Value$63.62
Current Price$26.04
Upside144.33%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS29.36%66.75%1.090.520.210.340.390.300.440.300.150.01
YoY Growth--108.46%146.00%-38.33%-12.15%30.36%-31.14%46.67%100.00%1,664.94%28.68%
Dividend Yield--3.66%1.66%1.01%3.09%2.34%3.17%2.95%2.43%1.05%0.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,366.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)71.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,295.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)673.34420.84252.50
Cash Retained (M)3,295.113,295.113,295.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-673.34-420.84-252.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,621.782,874.283,042.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,374.311,374.311,374.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.912.092.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.912.092.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.962.142.27
WACC / Discount Rate9.12%9.12%9.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$57.19$87.29$150.81
Upside / Downside119.62%235.21%479.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,366.683,585.523,818.584,066.784,331.124,612.654,751.03
Payout Ratio2.13%19.70%37.28%54.85%72.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)71.57706.371,423.392,230.643,136.824,151.384,394.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.12%9.12%9.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)641.28647.36653.44
Year 2 PV (M)1,173.171,195.511,218.07
Year 3 PV (M)1,669.101,717.011,765.84
Year 4 PV (M)2,130.882,212.832,297.12
Year 5 PV (M)2,560.242,683.902,812.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)44,320.3146,461.0048,683.61
Equity Value (M)52,494.9854,917.6157,430.37
Shares Outstanding (M)1,374.311,374.311,374.31
Fair Value$38.20$39.96$41.79
Upside / Downside46.69%53.46%60.48%

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