Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Zhuhai Huajin Capital Co., Ltd. (000532.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.21 - $41.18$23.40
Multi-Stage$14.28 - $15.66$14.96
Blended Fair Value$19.18
Current Price$14.71
Upside30.37%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-16.99%5.63%0.120.150.180.190.200.310.170.220.080.07
YoY Growth---19.91%-15.08%-9.07%-2.36%-34.72%76.79%-20.20%165.98%8.96%7.25%
Dividend Yield--0.77%1.34%1.56%1.63%1.89%3.08%1.38%1.50%0.47%0.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)223.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)33.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)190.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)44.7727.9816.79
Cash Retained (M)190.84190.84190.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-44.77-27.98-16.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)146.07162.86174.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)344.63344.63344.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.420.470.51
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.420.470.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.520.570.60
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate3.63%4.63%5.63%
Fair Value$15.21$23.40$41.18
Upside / Downside3.37%59.08%179.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)223.83234.19245.03256.36268.23280.64289.06
Payout Ratio14.74%29.79%44.84%59.90%74.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)33.0069.77109.88153.55201.03252.58267.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate3.63%4.63%5.63%
Year 1 PV (M)64.4865.1165.73
Year 2 PV (M)93.8595.6797.51
Year 3 PV (M)121.21124.76128.37
Year 4 PV (M)146.66152.40158.32
Year 5 PV (M)170.30178.67187.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,324.864,537.604,758.63
Equity Value (M)4,921.375,154.215,395.93
Shares Outstanding (M)344.63344.63344.63
Fair Value$14.28$14.96$15.66
Upside / Downside-2.92%1.67%6.44%

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