Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Van Elle Holdings plc (VANL.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.37 - $3.81$2.13
Multi-Stage$0.94 - $1.03$0.99
Blended Fair Value$1.56
Current Price$0.35
Upside344.61%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS9.70%21.39%0.010.010.010.000.000.010.020.020.010.00
YoY Growth---0.70%-14.27%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-69.70%4.76%270.59%61.52%130.05%
Dividend Yield--3.38%3.61%3.19%0.00%0.00%2.25%4.34%2.82%0.66%0.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.210.760.45
Cash Retained (M)3.513.513.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.21-0.76-0.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.292.753.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)107.56107.56107.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.050.050.05
WACC / Discount Rate8.97%8.97%8.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1.37$2.13$3.81
Upside / Downside291.47%507.30%989.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6.066.456.877.327.798.308.55
Payout Ratio42.12%51.69%61.27%70.85%80.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.553.334.215.186.277.477.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.97%8.97%8.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3.033.063.09
Year 2 PV (M)3.483.543.61
Year 3 PV (M)3.894.014.12
Year 4 PV (M)4.284.444.61
Year 5 PV (M)4.644.865.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)82.2486.2190.34
Equity Value (M)101.56106.13110.87
Shares Outstanding (M)107.56107.56107.56
Fair Value$0.94$0.99$1.03
Upside / Downside169.79%181.92%194.50%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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