Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Totvs S.a. (TOTS3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$35.47 - $110.29$56.81
Multi-Stage$23.61 - $25.79$24.68
Blended Fair Value$40.74
Current Price$45.93
Upside-11.29%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS39.68%5.32%0.440.690.230.240.180.080.090.130.240.29
YoY Growth---35.62%194.33%-2.50%32.71%116.90%-3.08%-32.68%-45.89%-18.88%10.28%
Dividend Yield--1.33%2.49%0.86%0.69%0.66%0.57%0.70%1.46%2.80%3.64%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)811.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)298.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)512.99
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)162.33101.4660.88
Cash Retained (M)512.99512.99512.99
(-) Cash Required (M)-162.33-101.46-60.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)350.65411.53452.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)599.67599.67599.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.580.690.75
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.580.690.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.081.181.25
WACC / Discount Rate8.72%8.72%8.72%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$35.47$56.81$110.29
Upside / Downside-22.77%23.68%140.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)811.67864.43920.62980.461,044.191,112.061,145.42
Payout Ratio36.80%47.44%58.08%68.72%79.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)298.69410.08534.69673.77828.661,000.851,059.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.72%8.72%8.72%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)373.64377.19380.73
Year 2 PV (M)443.90452.35460.89
Year 3 PV (M)509.67524.30539.20
Year 4 PV (M)571.15593.11615.70
Year 5 PV (M)628.54658.90690.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,631.7512,193.5612,776.88
Equity Value (M)14,158.6414,799.4115,463.82
Shares Outstanding (M)599.67599.67599.67
Fair Value$23.61$24.68$25.79
Upside / Downside-48.59%-46.27%-43.86%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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