Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PJSC Group of Companies TNS energo (TNSE.ME)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Independent Power ProducersSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,005.07 - $5,074.38$4,583.37
Multi-Stage$7,158.55 - $8,028.17$7,582.99
Blended Fair Value$6,083.18
Current Price$2,400.00
Upside153.47%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS87.78%-14.61%61.866.830.000.111.132.6513.7936.51269.5957.63
YoY Growth--805.54%0.00%-100.00%-90.08%-57.22%-80.79%-62.22%-86.46%367.80%-80.81%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.20%0.00%0.01%0.11%0.26%1.14%2.88%17.74%3.85%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)20,691.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)98.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)20,592.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,138.262,586.411,551.85
Cash Retained (M)20,592.5020,592.5020,592.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,138.26-2,586.41-1,551.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)16,454.2418,006.0919,040.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.3810.3810.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,584.811,734.271,833.92
LTM Dividend per Share9.529.529.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,584.811,734.271,833.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,594.321,743.791,843.43
WACC / Discount Rate9.56%9.56%9.56%
Growth Rate-21.64%-20.64%-19.64%
Fair Value$4,005.07$4,583.37$5,074.38
Upside / Downside66.88%90.97%111.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)20,691.3116,421.5113,032.8210,343.418,208.976,514.996,710.44
Payout Ratio0.48%18.38%36.29%54.19%72.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)98.803,018.604,729.155,605.205,918.305,863.496,207.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.56%9.56%9.56%
Growth Rate-21.64%-20.64%-19.64%
Year 1 PV (M)2,720.512,755.232,789.94
Year 2 PV (M)3,841.243,939.904,039.81
Year 3 PV (M)4,103.204,262.304,425.45
Year 4 PV (M)3,904.574,107.724,318.70
Year 5 PV (M)3,486.403,714.593,954.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)56,267.7259,950.6663,823.98
Equity Value (M)74,323.6478,730.4083,352.47
Shares Outstanding (M)10.3810.3810.38
Fair Value$7,158.55$7,582.99$8,028.17
Upside / Downside198.27%215.96%234.51%

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