Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

TF Bank AB (publ) (TFBANK.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$380.64 - $2,223.20$704.47
Multi-Stage$221.97 - $242.83$232.21
Blended Fair Value$468.34
Current Price$181.00
Upside158.75%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-10.04%42.26%0.450.000.330.330.110.770.750.730.150.28
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%209.35%-85.95%2.22%2.27%388.89%-46.56%2,010.14%
Dividend Yield--0.40%0.00%0.75%0.55%0.27%3.36%2.49%2.72%0.47%0.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)722.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)127.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)594.73
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)144.4390.2754.16
Cash Retained (M)594.73594.73594.73
(-) Cash Required (M)-144.43-90.27-54.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)450.30504.46540.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)64.6064.6064.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.977.818.37
LTM Dividend per Share1.971.971.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.977.818.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.949.7810.34
WACC / Discount Rate7.98%7.98%7.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$380.64$704.47$2,223.20
Upside / Downside110.30%289.21%1,128.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)722.15769.09819.08872.32929.03989.411,019.09
Payout Ratio17.64%32.12%46.59%61.06%75.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)127.42247.00381.58532.62701.68890.47942.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.98%7.98%7.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)226.60228.75230.89
Year 2 PV (M)321.16327.28333.45
Year 3 PV (M)411.26423.06435.09
Year 4 PV (M)497.05516.16535.83
Year 5 PV (M)578.69606.64635.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,304.3812,898.6913,515.74
Equity Value (M)14,339.1315,000.5715,686.66
Shares Outstanding (M)64.6064.6064.60
Fair Value$221.97$232.21$242.83
Upside / Downside22.63%28.29%34.16%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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