Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Fibra Terrafina (TERRA13.MX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - IndustrialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$77.95 - $220.38$121.51
Multi-Stage$80.85 - $88.72$84.71
Blended Fair Value$103.11
Current Price$36.49
Upside182.58%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.06%10.38%2.901.731.932.122.412.912.862.191.621.45
YoY Growth--67.31%-10.18%-8.83%-12.38%-16.94%1.53%30.69%35.34%11.25%34.76%
Dividend Yield--7.81%3.83%5.81%7.55%7.93%11.08%9.44%7.40%5.29%4.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,533.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)358.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,175.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)506.76316.73190.04
Cash Retained (M)2,175.252,175.252,175.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-506.76-316.73-190.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,668.481,858.521,985.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)782.41782.41782.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.132.382.54
LTM Dividend per Share0.460.460.46
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.132.382.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.592.833.00
WACC / Discount Rate6.63%6.63%6.63%
Growth Rate3.20%4.20%5.20%
Fair Value$77.95$121.51$220.38
Upside / Downside113.62%233.00%503.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,533.822,640.172,750.992,866.462,986.783,112.153,205.52
Payout Ratio14.15%29.32%44.49%59.66%74.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)358.57774.131,223.941,710.152,235.022,800.942,965.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.63%6.63%6.63%
Growth Rate3.20%4.20%5.20%
Year 1 PV (M)719.04726.01732.98
Year 2 PV (M)1,055.961,076.521,097.28
Year 3 PV (M)1,370.451,410.681,451.68
Year 4 PV (M)1,663.621,729.041,796.38
Year 5 PV (M)1,936.502,032.172,131.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)56,514.3059,306.0562,207.05
Equity Value (M)63,259.8766,280.4769,416.95
Shares Outstanding (M)782.41782.41782.41
Fair Value$80.85$84.71$88.72
Upside / Downside121.58%132.16%143.14%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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