Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SkiStar AB (publ) (SKIS-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Gambling, Resorts & CasinosSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$322.10 - $1,402.20$775.25
Multi-Stage$164.94 - $180.37$172.51
Blended Fair Value$473.88
Current Price$158.20
Upside199.55%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-4.36%8.40%2.802.603.001.500.003.503.502.752.252.00
YoY Growth--7.69%-13.33%100.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%27.27%22.22%12.50%60.00%
Dividend Yield--1.77%1.55%2.67%1.31%0.00%3.56%2.85%2.46%2.65%2.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)552.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)219.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)333.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)110.5269.0841.45
Cash Retained (M)333.15333.15333.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-110.52-69.08-41.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)222.63264.07291.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)78.3878.3878.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.843.373.72
LTM Dividend per Share2.802.802.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.843.373.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.646.176.52
WACC / Discount Rate7.35%7.35%7.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$322.10$775.25$1,402.20
Upside / Downside103.60%390.05%786.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)552.60588.52626.77667.51710.90757.11779.82
Payout Ratio39.71%49.77%59.83%69.89%79.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)219.45292.91374.98466.49568.31681.40721.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.35%7.35%7.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)270.30272.86275.42
Year 2 PV (M)319.33325.41331.55
Year 3 PV (M)366.59377.11387.83
Year 4 PV (M)412.13427.98444.28
Year 5 PV (M)455.99478.02500.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,103.3211,639.6112,196.43
Equity Value (M)12,927.6513,520.9914,136.40
Shares Outstanding (M)78.3878.3878.38
Fair Value$164.94$172.51$180.37
Upside / Downside4.26%9.05%14.01%

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