Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Saregama India Limited (SAREGAMA.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: EntertainmentSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$732.92 - $2,093.61$1,962.02
Multi-Stage$291.24 - $318.64$304.69
Blended Fair Value$1,133.36
Current Price$469.15
Upside141.58%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS68.96%42.06%4.504.003.003.001.940.330.270.130.130.14
YoY Growth--12.49%33.33%0.00%54.37%494.74%22.26%98.88%-0.03%-0.56%0.54%
Dividend Yield--0.90%0.72%0.74%0.83%0.62%0.77%0.48%0.20%0.48%0.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,028.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)867.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,161.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)405.72253.58152.15
Cash Retained (M)1,161.001,161.001,161.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-405.72-253.58-152.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)755.28907.431,008.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)192.70192.70192.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.924.715.24
LTM Dividend per Share4.504.504.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.924.715.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.429.219.74
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$732.92$1,962.02$2,093.61
Upside / Downside56.22%318.21%346.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,028.602,160.462,300.892,450.452,609.732,779.362,862.74
Payout Ratio42.77%52.21%61.66%71.11%80.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)867.601,128.081,418.751,742.452,102.232,501.422,648.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,047.191,057.121,067.05
Year 2 PV (M)1,222.601,245.881,269.39
Year 3 PV (M)1,393.881,433.891,474.66
Year 4 PV (M)1,561.111,621.151,682.90
Year 5 PV (M)1,724.361,807.651,894.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)49,172.7751,547.8454,013.80
Equity Value (M)56,121.9258,713.5361,401.93
Shares Outstanding (M)192.70192.70192.70
Fair Value$291.24$304.69$318.64
Upside / Downside-37.92%-35.05%-32.08%

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