Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Pratama Widya Tbk (PTPW.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,058.45 - $9,402.65$4,704.93
Multi-Stage$4,529.92 - $5,006.90$4,763.62
Blended Fair Value$4,734.28
Current Price$930.00
Upside409.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.0019.360.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%2.08%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)44,634.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,000.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)39,634.03
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8,926.815,579.253,347.55
Cash Retained (M)39,634.0339,634.0339,634.03
(-) Cash Required (M)-8,926.81-5,579.25-3,347.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)30,707.2334,054.7836,286.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)878.19878.19878.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share34.9738.7841.32
LTM Dividend per Share5.695.695.69
(+) Excess Retained per Share34.9738.7841.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend40.6644.4747.01
WACC / Discount Rate-0.06%-0.06%-0.06%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2,058.45$4,704.93$9,402.65
Upside / Downside121.34%405.91%911.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)44,634.0344,187.6943,745.8243,308.3642,875.2742,446.5243,719.92
Payout Ratio11.20%26.96%42.72%58.48%74.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,000.0011,913.7818,688.7925,327.1131,830.7938,201.8740,440.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.06%-0.06%-0.06%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)11,801.0211,921.4412,041.86
Year 2 PV (M)18,336.7018,712.8219,092.77
Year 3 PV (M)24,614.7525,375.9826,152.74
Year 4 PV (M)30,642.7131,912.7133,221.78
Year 5 PV (M)36,427.9138,324.7940,299.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,856,298.844,057,105.264,266,191.07
Equity Value (M)3,978,121.924,183,353.014,397,000.11
Shares Outstanding (M)878.19878.19878.19
Fair Value$4,529.92$4,763.62$5,006.90
Upside / Downside387.09%412.22%438.38%

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