Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Dimed S.A. Distribuidora de Medicamentos (PNVL3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - GeneralSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$79.62 - $149.53$140.13
Multi-Stage$23.24 - $25.46$24.33
Blended Fair Value$82.23
Current Price$9.77
Upside741.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.79%9.46%0.220.190.160.140.120.140.120.120.110.09
YoY Growth--15.47%16.04%21.08%12.07%-12.25%16.17%3.33%9.82%22.22%-3.95%
Dividend Yield--2.56%1.69%1.82%1.03%0.69%0.67%1.04%0.99%0.58%0.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)112.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)26.27
(=) Cash Retained (M)86.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.5714.108.46
Cash Retained (M)86.5686.5686.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.57-14.10-8.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)63.9972.4578.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)150.06150.06150.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.430.480.52
LTM Dividend per Share0.180.180.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.430.480.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.600.660.70
WACC / Discount Rate6.30%6.30%6.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$79.62$140.13$149.53
Upside / Downside714.90%1,334.31%1,430.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)112.83120.16127.97136.29145.15154.59159.22
Payout Ratio23.28%36.63%49.97%63.31%76.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)26.2744.0163.9586.29111.27139.13147.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.30%6.30%6.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)41.0241.4041.79
Year 2 PV (M)55.5456.6057.66
Year 3 PV (M)69.8471.8573.89
Year 4 PV (M)83.9387.1590.47
Year 5 PV (M)97.80102.52107.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,139.993,291.653,449.12
Equity Value (M)3,488.113,651.173,820.36
Shares Outstanding (M)150.06150.06150.06
Fair Value$23.24$24.33$25.46
Upside / Downside137.92%149.04%160.58%

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