Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Pentair plc (PNR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$645.21 - $760.59$712.59
Multi-Stage$392.95 - $432.42$412.31
Blended Fair Value$562.45
Current Price$110.76
Upside407.81%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.42%-3.23%0.920.870.830.800.770.741.131.521.471.39
YoY Growth--4.89%4.76%4.21%4.64%3.59%-34.46%-25.63%3.33%5.14%9.60%
Dividend Yield--1.05%1.04%1.51%1.48%1.23%2.48%2.48%3.31%3.48%3.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)654.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)161.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)492.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)130.8281.7649.06
Cash Retained (M)492.80492.80492.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-130.82-81.76-49.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)361.98411.04443.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)166.13166.13166.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.182.472.67
LTM Dividend per Share0.970.970.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.182.472.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.153.453.64
WACC / Discount Rate2.14%2.14%2.14%
Growth Rate2.42%3.42%4.42%
Fair Value$645.21$712.59$760.59
Upside / Downside482.53%543.36%586.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)654.10676.45699.56723.47748.19773.75796.97
Payout Ratio24.66%37.73%50.80%63.86%76.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)161.30255.21355.35462.04575.60696.38737.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.14%2.14%2.14%
Growth Rate2.42%3.42%4.42%
Year 1 PV (M)247.45249.86252.28
Year 2 PV (M)334.06340.62347.24
Year 3 PV (M)421.15433.60446.30
Year 4 PV (M)508.70528.86549.62
Year 5 PV (M)596.73626.43657.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)63,170.1866,314.9769,583.77
Equity Value (M)65,278.2768,494.3571,836.52
Shares Outstanding (M)166.13166.13166.13
Fair Value$392.95$412.31$432.42
Upside / Downside254.77%272.25%290.42%

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