Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Pro Medicus Limited (PME.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Healthcare Information ServicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$32.42 - $64.31$44.92
Multi-Stage$25.15 - $27.41$26.26
Blended Fair Value$35.59
Current Price$285.08
Upside-87.52%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS35.09%37.69%0.470.350.250.180.130.100.090.050.030.02
YoY Growth--34.36%40.01%38.96%38.68%24.11%10.90%91.13%67.48%21.45%26.28%
Dividend Yield--0.16%0.26%0.38%0.42%0.22%0.39%0.37%0.61%0.55%0.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)198.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)85.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)112.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)39.6024.7514.85
Cash Retained (M)112.34112.34112.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-39.60-24.75-14.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)72.7487.5997.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)104.66104.66104.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.700.840.93
LTM Dividend per Share0.820.820.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.700.840.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.511.661.75
WACC / Discount Rate10.43%10.43%10.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$32.42$44.92$64.31
Upside / Downside-88.63%-84.24%-77.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)198.01210.88224.59239.19254.73271.29279.43
Payout Ratio43.26%52.61%61.96%71.31%80.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)85.67110.95139.15170.55205.45244.16258.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.43%10.43%10.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)99.53100.47101.42
Year 2 PV (M)111.98114.12116.27
Year 3 PV (M)123.13126.67130.27
Year 4 PV (M)133.06138.18143.44
Year 5 PV (M)141.86148.71155.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,022.462,120.142,221.57
Equity Value (M)2,632.022,748.292,868.79
Shares Outstanding (M)104.66104.66104.66
Fair Value$25.15$26.26$27.41
Upside / Downside-91.18%-90.79%-90.39%

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