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Definitive Analysis

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Banco Davivienda S.A. (PFDAVVNDA.CL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$154,272.64 - $506,962.70$475,098.29
Multi-Stage$64,957.72 - $71,173.80$68,008.40
Blended Fair Value$271,553.35
Current Price$24,520.00
Upside1,007.48%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-79.60%-53.44%0.27935.96992.670.01855.43777.99740.90879.54800.18717.74
YoY Growth---99.97%-5.71%16,137,366.67%-100.00%9.95%5.01%-15.76%9.92%11.48%25.08%
Dividend Yield--0.00%4.37%4.12%0.00%2.87%2.55%1.96%2.92%2.67%2.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,243,213.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,243,207.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)248,642.60155,401.6393,240.98
Cash Retained (M)1,243,207.001,243,207.001,243,207.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-248,642.60-155,401.63-93,240.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)994,564.401,087,805.381,149,966.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)487.70487.70487.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,039.312,230.502,357.95
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,039.312,230.502,357.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,039.322,230.512,357.97
WACC / Discount Rate6.89%6.89%6.89%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$154,272.64$475,098.29$506,962.70
Upside / Downside529.17%1,837.59%1,967.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,243,213.001,324,021.851,410,083.261,501,738.681,599,351.691,703,309.551,754,408.84
Payout Ratio0.00%18.00%36.00%54.00%72.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.00238,329.04507,634.06810,941.781,151,534.761,532,978.601,622,828.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.89%6.89%6.89%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)220,863.56222,957.05225,050.54
Year 2 PV (M)435,958.28444,262.06452,644.18
Year 3 PV (M)645,402.95663,930.15682,808.57
Year 4 PV (M)849,308.38881,970.39915,565.52
Year 5 PV (M)1,047,783.461,098,391.791,150,937.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)28,480,344.8729,855,956.1831,284,215.37
Equity Value (M)31,679,661.5133,167,467.6234,711,221.21
Shares Outstanding (M)487.70487.70487.70
Fair Value$64,957.72$68,008.40$71,173.80
Upside / Downside164.92%177.36%190.27%

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