Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Mennica Polska S.A. (MNC.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$740.54 - $1,913.54$1,793.27
Multi-Stage$268.23 - $293.89$280.82
Blended Fair Value$1,037.05
Current Price$32.70
Upside3,071.39%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.54%10.70%1.250.100.700.700.501.001.000.700.500.40
YoY Growth--1,149.93%-85.71%-0.10%40.00%-50.00%0.00%42.86%40.00%24.51%-11.11%
Dividend Yield--5.21%0.55%4.14%3.26%2.53%5.13%4.24%3.18%2.54%2.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)491.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)461.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)98.3661.4836.89
Cash Retained (M)461.20461.20461.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-98.36-61.48-36.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)362.84399.73424.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)51.1151.1151.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.107.828.30
LTM Dividend per Share0.600.600.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.107.828.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.708.428.90
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$740.54$1,793.27$1,913.54
Upside / Downside2,164.66%5,384.01%5,751.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)491.80523.77557.81594.07632.68673.81694.02
Payout Ratio6.22%22.98%39.73%56.49%73.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.60120.35221.64335.58463.41606.43641.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)111.84112.90113.96
Year 2 PV (M)191.41195.05198.73
Year 3 PV (M)269.33277.06284.93
Year 4 PV (M)345.62358.91372.58
Year 5 PV (M)420.32440.62461.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,371.4412,968.9913,589.40
Equity Value (M)13,709.9514,353.5315,021.31
Shares Outstanding (M)51.1151.1151.11
Fair Value$268.23$280.82$293.89
Upside / Downside720.27%758.78%798.73%

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