Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Mare Engineering Group S.p.A. (MARE.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.56 - $13.26$7.17
Multi-Stage$16.34 - $18.05$17.18
Blended Fair Value$12.17
Current Price$3.29
Upside270.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.030.110.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---71.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.87%2.73%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.460.290.17
Cash Retained (M)1.641.641.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.46-0.29-0.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.181.351.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.8611.8611.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.110.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.110.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.160.170.18
WACC / Discount Rate1.37%1.37%1.37%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.56$7.17$13.26
Upside / Downside38.66%117.97%303.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2.322.302.282.252.232.212.27
Payout Ratio29.31%41.44%53.58%65.72%77.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.680.951.221.481.741.992.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.37%1.37%1.37%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)0.930.940.95
Year 2 PV (M)1.161.191.21
Year 3 PV (M)1.381.421.47
Year 4 PV (M)1.581.651.71
Year 5 PV (M)1.771.861.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)186.87196.60206.73
Equity Value (M)193.69203.65214.02
Shares Outstanding (M)11.8611.8611.86
Fair Value$16.34$17.18$18.05
Upside / Downside396.52%422.06%448.65%

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