Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Københavns Lufthavne A/S (KBHL.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Airlines, Airports & Air ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,091.79 - $3,914.66$2,834.98
Multi-Stage$5,311.39 - $5,852.92$5,576.85
Blended Fair Value$4,205.92
Current Price$6,540.00
Upside-35.69%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-44.78%-26.02%6.119.877.660.000.00118.96157.56155.09153.32129.04
YoY Growth---38.16%28.81%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-24.50%1.59%1.15%18.82%3.77%
Dividend Yield--0.10%0.18%0.12%0.00%0.00%2.41%2.67%2.78%2.55%3.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,092.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)229.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)863.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)218.40136.5081.90
Cash Retained (M)863.00863.00863.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-218.40-136.50-81.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)644.60726.50781.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.707.707.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share83.7494.38101.47
LTM Dividend per Share29.7529.7529.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share83.7494.38101.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend113.49124.13131.22
WACC / Discount Rate5.10%5.10%5.10%
Growth Rate-0.31%0.69%1.69%
Fair Value$2,091.79$2,834.98$3,914.66
Upside / Downside-68.02%-56.65%-40.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,092.001,099.551,107.151,114.811,122.511,130.271,164.18
Payout Ratio20.97%34.78%48.58%62.39%76.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)229.00382.39537.88695.51855.291,017.251,076.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.10%5.10%5.10%
Growth Rate-0.31%0.69%1.69%
Year 1 PV (M)360.22363.83367.44
Year 2 PV (M)477.32486.94496.66
Year 3 PV (M)581.42599.09617.12
Year 4 PV (M)673.54700.97729.23
Year 5 PV (M)754.63793.25833.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)38,037.2339,983.6442,008.92
Equity Value (M)40,884.3542,927.7245,052.81
Shares Outstanding (M)7.707.707.70
Fair Value$5,311.39$5,576.85$5,852.92
Upside / Downside-18.79%-14.73%-10.51%

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