Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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JPMorgan Global Emerging Markets Income Trust plc (JEMI.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - IncomeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.84 - $2.62$2.22
Multi-Stage$2.91 - $3.19$3.05
Blended Fair Value$2.64
Current Price$1.52
Upside73.41%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.18%1.74%0.050.050.050.050.050.050.050.050.050.05
YoY Growth---2.03%1.21%1.80%-0.04%0.00%2.14%2.48%0.51%2.00%9.73%
Dividend Yield--3.49%3.98%3.99%4.27%3.70%4.53%3.57%3.99%3.97%4.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)79.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)35.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)43.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.839.895.93
Cash Retained (M)43.9343.9343.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.83-9.89-5.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)28.1134.0438.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)288.45288.45288.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.120.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.120.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.220.240.25
WACC / Discount Rate9.70%9.70%9.70%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.84$2.22$2.62
Upside / Downside20.98%46.17%72.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)79.1378.3477.5576.7876.0175.2577.51
Payout Ratio44.48%53.58%62.69%71.79%80.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)35.1941.9748.6155.1261.4967.7271.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.70%9.70%9.70%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)37.8838.2638.65
Year 2 PV (M)39.5940.4041.22
Year 3 PV (M)40.5141.7643.04
Year 4 PV (M)40.7842.4744.21
Year 5 PV (M)40.5342.6444.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)640.83674.20708.94
Equity Value (M)840.10879.73920.90
Shares Outstanding (M)288.45288.45288.45
Fair Value$2.91$3.05$3.19
Upside / Downside91.61%100.64%110.03%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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