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Definitive Analysis

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Hove A/S (HOVE.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.69 - $5.69$4.62
Multi-Stage$8.24 - $9.07$8.65
Blended Fair Value$6.63
Current Price$3.14
Upside111.24%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.110.090.020.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%30.84%328.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%2.68%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.991.240.75
Cash Retained (M)6.496.496.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.99-1.24-0.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.505.255.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.9124.9124.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.210.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.210.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.320.350.37
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.69$4.62$5.69
Upside / Downside17.46%47.11%81.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9.959.859.759.659.559.469.74
Payout Ratio34.71%45.77%56.82%67.88%78.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.454.515.546.557.548.519.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)4.194.234.27
Year 2 PV (M)4.794.884.98
Year 3 PV (M)5.265.435.59
Year 4 PV (M)5.635.876.11
Year 5 PV (M)5.916.226.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)179.45188.79198.52
Equity Value (M)205.23215.42226.02
Shares Outstanding (M)24.9124.9124.91
Fair Value$8.24$8.65$9.07
Upside / Downside162.34%175.37%188.91%

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