Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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HELLA GmbH & Co. KGaA (HLE.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$246.40 - $516.25$483.46
Multi-Stage$262.96 - $290.60$276.50
Blended Fair Value$379.98
Current Price$87.10
Upside336.26%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.730.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.84%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)311.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)86.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)224.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)62.2238.8923.33
Cash Retained (M)224.31224.31224.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-62.22-38.89-23.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)162.09185.42200.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)111.48111.48111.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.451.661.80
LTM Dividend per Share0.780.780.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.451.661.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.232.442.58
WACC / Discount Rate-1.11%-1.11%-1.11%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$246.40$483.46$516.25
Upside / Downside182.89%455.06%492.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)311.10307.99304.91301.86298.84295.85304.73
Payout Ratio27.90%40.32%52.74%65.16%77.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)86.79124.17160.80196.69231.84266.27281.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.11%-1.11%-1.11%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)124.30125.57126.84
Year 2 PV (M)161.13164.44167.78
Year 3 PV (M)197.30203.40209.62
Year 4 PV (M)232.80242.44252.39
Year 5 PV (M)267.64281.58296.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)28,332.8929,808.2531,344.44
Equity Value (M)29,316.0630,825.6832,397.16
Shares Outstanding (M)111.48111.48111.48
Fair Value$262.96$276.50$290.60
Upside / Downside201.91%217.46%233.64%

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