Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

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Gav-Yam Lands Corp. Ltd (GVYM.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$166.63 - $547.78$513.35
Multi-Stage$71.94 - $78.73$75.27
Blended Fair Value$294.31
Current Price$39.30
Upside648.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.81%10.74%1.381.252.591.180.910.910.820.820.680.54
YoY Growth--10.91%-51.75%119.23%30.00%0.00%11.11%0.00%20.00%25.00%9.09%
Dividend Yield--4.86%4.49%9.85%3.13%3.41%4.38%4.71%4.88%4.04%4.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)606.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)200.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)406.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)121.3975.8745.52
Cash Retained (M)406.96406.96406.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-121.39-75.87-45.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)285.57331.09361.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)220.36220.36220.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.301.501.64
LTM Dividend per Share0.910.910.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.301.501.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.202.412.55
WACC / Discount Rate6.90%6.90%6.90%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$166.63$513.35$547.78
Upside / Downside323.99%1,206.23%1,293.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)606.96646.41688.43733.17780.83831.59856.53
Payout Ratio32.95%44.36%55.77%67.18%78.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)200.00286.75383.94492.55613.66748.43792.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.90%6.90%6.90%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)265.74268.26270.78
Year 2 PV (M)329.73336.01342.35
Year 3 PV (M)392.00403.25414.72
Year 4 PV (M)452.59470.00487.90
Year 5 PV (M)511.53536.24561.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,902.3214,573.8015,270.99
Equity Value (M)15,853.9016,587.5617,348.62
Shares Outstanding (M)220.36220.36220.36
Fair Value$71.94$75.27$78.73
Upside / Downside83.07%91.54%100.33%

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