Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Grande Group Limited Class A Ordinary Shares (GRAN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.22 - $3.29$2.73
Multi-Stage$4.05 - $4.46$4.25
Blended Fair Value$3.49
Current Price$4.60
Upside-24.10%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023
DPS0.00%0.00%0.060.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.36%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.680.430.26
Cash Retained (M)2.652.652.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.68-0.43-0.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.962.222.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.3412.3412.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.180.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.180.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.220.240.26
WACC / Discount Rate7.79%7.79%7.79%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.22$2.73$3.29
Upside / Downside-51.80%-40.69%-28.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3.423.383.353.323.283.253.35
Payout Ratio22.51%36.01%49.51%63.00%76.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.771.221.662.092.512.923.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.79%7.79%7.79%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1.121.131.14
Year 2 PV (M)1.401.431.46
Year 3 PV (M)1.621.671.72
Year 4 PV (M)1.791.861.94
Year 5 PV (M)1.912.012.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)42.2044.4046.69
Equity Value (M)50.0452.5055.06
Shares Outstanding (M)12.3412.3412.34
Fair Value$4.05$4.25$4.46
Upside / Downside-11.86%-7.52%-3.01%

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