Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Frøy ASA (FROY.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.70 - $33.63$27.92
Multi-Stage$41.59 - $45.75$43.63
Blended Fair Value$35.78
Current Price$75.40
Upside-52.55%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%1.490.350.530.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--331.74%-35.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.29%0.71%0.87%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)246.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)64.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)181.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)49.3030.8118.49
Cash Retained (M)181.69181.69181.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-49.30-30.81-18.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)132.38150.87163.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)86.7986.7986.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.531.741.88
LTM Dividend per Share0.750.750.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.531.741.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.272.492.63
WACC / Discount Rate7.81%7.81%7.81%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$22.70$27.92$33.63
Upside / Downside-69.90%-62.97%-55.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)246.51244.04241.60239.19236.80234.43241.46
Payout Ratio26.30%39.04%51.78%64.52%77.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)64.8295.27125.10154.32182.95210.98223.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.81%7.81%7.81%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)87.4788.3789.26
Year 2 PV (M)105.46107.63109.81
Year 3 PV (M)119.46123.15126.92
Year 4 PV (M)130.03135.42140.97
Year 5 PV (M)137.69144.86152.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,029.703,187.473,351.74
Equity Value (M)3,609.813,786.883,971.02
Shares Outstanding (M)86.7986.7986.79
Fair Value$41.59$43.63$45.75
Upside / Downside-44.84%-42.13%-39.32%

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