Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PAO Sovcomflot (FLOT.ME)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20.11 - $42.98$28.63
Multi-Stage$14.55 - $15.89$15.21
Blended Fair Value$21.92
Current Price$76.45
Upside-71.33%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS83.19%46.54%0.200.050.000.090.040.010.010.050.040.01
YoY Growth--318.61%0.00%-100.00%114.21%334.66%-24.48%-73.07%13.03%360.29%109.29%
Dividend Yield--18.17%3.39%0.00%9.29%3.54%0.76%0.83%2.72%2.37%0.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,472.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)321.37
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,151.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)494.56309.10185.46
Cash Retained (M)2,151.422,151.422,151.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-494.56-309.10-185.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,656.861,842.321,965.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,328.952,328.952,328.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.710.790.84
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.710.790.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.850.930.98
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$20.11$28.63$42.98
Upside / Downside-73.70%-62.56%-43.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,472.792,633.522,804.702,987.003,181.163,387.943,489.57
Payout Ratio13.00%28.40%43.80%59.20%74.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)321.37747.841,228.391,768.262,373.123,049.143,227.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)673.74680.12686.51
Year 2 PV (M)997.011,016.011,035.17
Year 3 PV (M)1,292.981,330.101,367.92
Year 4 PV (M)1,563.321,623.441,685.28
Year 5 PV (M)1,809.621,897.021,987.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)27,537.9828,868.0830,249.08
Equity Value (M)33,874.6535,414.7737,011.73
Shares Outstanding (M)2,328.952,328.952,328.95
Fair Value$14.55$15.21$15.89
Upside / Downside-80.97%-80.11%-79.21%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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