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Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc. (FDP)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$45.73 - $160.83$75.65
Multi-Stage$47.74 - $52.30$49.98
Blended Fair Value$62.81
Current Price$35.03
Upside79.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS48.14%5.53%0.990.750.600.490.300.140.600.620.590.54
YoY Growth--33.15%25.09%21.10%65.73%113.43%-76.90%-3.65%6.74%7.63%-6.09%
Dividend Yield--3.27%2.88%1.98%1.86%1.03%0.48%2.23%1.38%0.99%1.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)80.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)55.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)25.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.0410.036.02
Cash Retained (M)25.2025.2025.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.04-10.03-6.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)9.1615.1819.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)48.1748.1748.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.190.320.40
LTM Dividend per Share1.141.141.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.190.320.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.331.461.54
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate3.30%4.30%5.30%
Fair Value$45.73$75.65$160.83
Upside / Downside30.56%115.97%359.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)80.2083.6587.2591.0094.9198.99101.96
Payout Ratio68.58%72.86%77.15%81.43%85.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)55.0060.9567.3174.1081.3589.0994.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate3.30%4.30%5.30%
Year 1 PV (M)56.7857.3357.88
Year 2 PV (M)58.4259.5660.70
Year 3 PV (M)59.9261.6863.47
Year 4 PV (M)61.2963.6966.17
Year 5 PV (M)62.5365.6168.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,000.882,099.622,202.22
Equity Value (M)2,299.822,407.492,519.27
Shares Outstanding (M)48.1748.1748.17
Fair Value$47.74$49.98$52.30
Upside / Downside36.28%42.66%49.29%

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