Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Emeco Holdings Limited (EHL.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.84 - $42.49$14.23
Multi-Stage$7.49 - $8.22$7.85
Blended Fair Value$11.04
Current Price$0.83
Upside1,229.66%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.010.020.030.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%-50.19%-3.40%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%1.67%3.80%3.93%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)127.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)121.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25.5615.989.59
Cash Retained (M)121.31121.31121.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-25.56-15.98-9.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)95.75105.34111.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)527.51527.51527.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.200.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.200.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.190.210.22
WACC / Discount Rate5.98%5.98%5.98%
Growth Rate3.42%4.42%5.42%
Fair Value$7.84$14.23$42.49
Upside / Downside844.84%1,613.97%5,019.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)127.80133.45139.35145.51151.94158.65163.41
Payout Ratio5.08%22.06%39.05%56.03%73.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.4929.4454.4181.53110.94142.79151.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.98%5.98%5.98%
Growth Rate3.42%4.42%5.42%
Year 1 PV (M)27.5127.7828.05
Year 2 PV (M)47.5248.4549.38
Year 3 PV (M)66.5568.5070.49
Year 4 PV (M)84.6387.9591.37
Year 5 PV (M)101.80106.82112.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,621.043,799.523,984.97
Equity Value (M)3,949.064,139.024,336.29
Shares Outstanding (M)527.51527.51527.51
Fair Value$7.49$7.85$8.22
Upside / Downside801.96%845.35%890.40%

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