Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Coats Group plc (COA.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.27 - $2.15$1.65
Multi-Stage$2.61 - $2.87$2.74
Blended Fair Value$2.20
Current Price$1.09
Upside101.52%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.90%0.00%0.030.020.020.020.000.010.010.010.000.00
YoY Growth--14.64%22.12%20.44%13,600.00%-99.17%14.22%19.89%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.42%2.63%2.55%1.81%0.01%1.50%1.25%0.91%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)171.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)93.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)77.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)34.2421.4012.84
Cash Retained (M)77.7077.7077.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-34.24-21.40-12.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)43.4656.3064.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,620.081,620.081,620.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.030.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.030.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.080.090.10
WACC / Discount Rate6.19%6.19%6.19%
Growth Rate-0.43%0.57%1.57%
Fair Value$1.27$1.65$2.15
Upside / Downside16.54%51.63%96.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)171.20172.17173.14174.12175.11176.10181.38
Payout Ratio54.61%61.69%68.77%75.85%82.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)93.50106.21119.07132.07145.21158.49167.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.19%6.19%6.19%
Growth Rate-0.43%0.57%1.57%
Year 1 PV (M)99.03100.02101.02
Year 2 PV (M)103.50105.59107.70
Year 3 PV (M)107.03110.28113.61
Year 4 PV (M)109.71114.19118.80
Year 5 PV (M)111.65117.37123.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,702.463,892.174,089.57
Equity Value (M)4,233.374,439.614,654.00
Shares Outstanding (M)1,620.081,620.081,620.08
Fair Value$2.61$2.74$2.87
Upside / Downside139.73%151.41%163.55%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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