Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Çimsa Çimento Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CIMSA.IS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$203.02 - $390.50$365.95
Multi-Stage$61.10 - $66.88$63.94
Blended Fair Value$214.94
Current Price$48.00
Upside347.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%22.80%1.290.610.210.000.000.000.070.200.210.18
YoY Growth--112.57%186.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-64.79%-4.70%15.33%11.96%
Dividend Yield--2.72%1.97%1.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%7.48%10.51%9.63%8.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,856.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)801.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,055.19
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)371.34232.09139.25
Cash Retained (M)1,055.191,055.191,055.19
(-) Cash Required (M)-371.34-232.09-139.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)683.85823.10915.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)945.59945.59945.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.720.870.97
LTM Dividend per Share0.850.850.85
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.720.870.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.571.721.82
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$203.02$365.95$390.50
Upside / Downside322.97%662.40%713.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,856.691,977.372,105.902,242.792,388.572,543.822,620.14
Payout Ratio43.17%52.53%61.90%71.27%80.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)801.501,038.811,303.571,598.371,925.992,289.442,423.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)967.92977.09986.26
Year 2 PV (M)1,131.731,153.281,175.04
Year 3 PV (M)1,292.971,330.081,367.90
Year 4 PV (M)1,451.661,507.491,564.91
Year 5 PV (M)1,607.851,685.511,766.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)51,325.4753,804.5156,378.42
Equity Value (M)57,777.5960,457.9663,238.69
Shares Outstanding (M)945.59945.59945.59
Fair Value$61.10$63.94$66.88
Upside / Downside27.30%33.20%39.33%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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