Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Cambi ASA (CAMBI.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Waste ManagementSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.03 - $13.86$11.29
Multi-Stage$19.49 - $21.46$20.46
Blended Fair Value$15.87
Current Price$19.30
Upside-17.77%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS151.19%0.00%1.000.750.000.000.000.010.080.060.000.00
YoY Growth--33.44%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-87.43%28.21%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.92%4.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.06%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)159.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)48.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)111.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)31.9619.9811.99
Cash Retained (M)111.80111.80111.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-31.96-19.98-11.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)79.8491.8399.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)160.03160.03160.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.500.570.62
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.500.570.62
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.800.870.92
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$9.03$11.29$13.86
Upside / Downside-53.19%-41.53%-28.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)159.80158.20156.62155.05153.50151.97156.53
Payout Ratio30.04%42.03%54.02%66.02%78.01%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)48.0066.4984.61102.36119.74136.77144.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)61.7162.3462.97
Year 2 PV (M)72.8774.3775.88
Year 3 PV (M)81.8184.3486.93
Year 4 PV (M)88.8292.5096.30
Year 5 PV (M)94.1599.06104.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,719.362,860.973,008.41
Equity Value (M)3,118.733,273.583,434.64
Shares Outstanding (M)160.03160.03160.03
Fair Value$19.49$20.46$21.46
Upside / Downside0.98%5.99%11.21%

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