Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Berner Industrier AB (BERNER-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$520.37 - $613.32$574.66
Multi-Stage$338.56 - $372.26$355.09
Blended Fair Value$464.88
Current Price$70.80
Upside556.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.71%0.00%0.900.600.750.750.600.750.500.500.500.25
YoY Growth--49.99%-20.00%0.00%25.00%-20.00%50.64%-0.43%0.00%100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.15%1.76%3.69%3.13%1.82%4.35%1.87%2.62%2.50%1.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)59.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)41.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.877.424.45
Cash Retained (M)41.5241.5241.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.87-7.42-4.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)29.6534.1037.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.8618.8618.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.571.811.97
LTM Dividend per Share0.950.950.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.571.811.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.522.752.91
WACC / Discount Rate1.51%1.51%1.51%
Growth Rate3.32%4.32%5.32%
Fair Value$520.37$574.66$613.32
Upside / Downside634.98%711.66%766.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)59.3661.9364.6067.3970.3073.3375.53
Payout Ratio30.06%42.05%54.04%66.02%78.01%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17.8526.0434.9144.4954.8466.0069.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.51%1.51%1.51%
Growth Rate3.32%4.32%5.32%
Year 1 PV (M)25.4125.6525.90
Year 2 PV (M)33.2333.8834.53
Year 3 PV (M)41.3242.5343.77
Year 4 PV (M)49.6951.6553.65
Year 5 PV (M)58.3561.2364.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,176.786,481.556,798.23
Equity Value (M)6,384.786,696.497,020.30
Shares Outstanding (M)18.8618.8618.86
Fair Value$338.56$355.09$372.26
Upside / Downside378.20%401.54%425.79%

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