Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Benteng Api Technic Tbk. (BATR.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29.19 - $45.34$36.66
Multi-Stage$67.34 - $74.17$70.68
Blended Fair Value$53.67
Current Price$80.00
Upside-32.91%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.6612.600.420.400.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%-94.73%2,922.29%4.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.55%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11,659.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,228.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,430.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,331.891,457.43874.46
Cash Retained (M)7,430.507,430.507,430.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,331.89-1,457.43-874.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,098.615,973.076,556.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,765.613,765.613,765.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.351.591.74
LTM Dividend per Share1.121.121.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.351.591.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.482.712.86
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$29.19$36.66$45.34
Upside / Downside-63.51%-54.18%-43.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11,659.4611,542.8611,427.4311,313.1611,200.0311,088.0311,420.67
Payout Ratio36.27%47.02%57.76%68.51%79.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,228.965,427.056,600.767,750.458,876.489,979.2210,564.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5,053.045,104.605,156.16
Year 2 PV (M)5,722.325,839.705,958.26
Year 3 PV (M)6,255.966,449.436,646.85
Year 4 PV (M)6,671.106,947.597,232.58
Year 5 PV (M)6,983.017,346.637,725.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)222,876.66234,482.36246,566.58
Equity Value (M)253,562.09266,170.31279,285.68
Shares Outstanding (M)3,765.613,765.613,765.61
Fair Value$67.34$70.68$74.17
Upside / Downside-15.83%-11.64%-7.29%

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