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Visiativ S.A. (ALVIV.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$202.14 - $915.70$465.12
Multi-Stage$105.27 - $115.13$110.11
Blended Fair Value$287.61
Current Price$27.10
Upside961.31%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS0.00%0.00%1.100.460.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--138.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.05%1.71%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)21.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.202.631.58
Cash Retained (M)13.9013.9013.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.20-2.63-1.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)9.7011.2812.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.564.564.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.132.472.70
LTM Dividend per Share1.561.561.56
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.132.472.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.684.034.26
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$202.14$465.12$915.70
Upside / Downside645.90%1,616.29%3,278.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)21.0022.3723.8225.3727.0228.7729.63
Payout Ratio33.81%45.05%56.29%67.52%78.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.1010.0713.4117.1321.2825.8927.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)9.299.389.47
Year 2 PV (M)11.4011.6211.84
Year 3 PV (M)13.4313.8214.21
Year 4 PV (M)15.3915.9816.59
Year 5 PV (M)17.2718.1018.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)413.35433.31454.04
Equity Value (M)480.13502.21525.11
Shares Outstanding (M)4.564.564.56
Fair Value$105.27$110.11$115.13
Upside / Downside288.45%306.32%324.85%

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