Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Industry

Sector

Catering International & Services S.A. (ALCIS.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$35.50 - $129.67$59.28
Multi-Stage$34.10 - $37.40$35.72
Blended Fair Value$47.50
Current Price$9.58
Upside395.81%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.50%1.90%0.160.160.160.000.000.120.110.060.120.19
YoY Growth---1.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%9.04%83.61%-50.05%-33.31%38.47%
Dividend Yield--1.74%1.85%1.70%0.00%0.00%0.93%1.24%0.36%0.73%1.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.971.230.74
Cash Retained (M)7.237.237.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.97-1.23-0.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)5.266.006.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.797.797.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.680.770.83
LTM Dividend per Share0.340.340.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.680.770.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.011.111.17
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate3.50%4.50%5.50%
Fair Value$35.50$59.28$129.67
Upside / Downside270.54%518.75%1,253.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9.8610.3010.7611.2511.7512.2812.65
Payout Ratio26.64%39.31%51.98%64.66%77.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.634.055.607.279.0911.0511.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate3.50%4.50%5.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3.773.803.84
Year 2 PV (M)4.844.945.03
Year 3 PV (M)5.866.036.20
Year 4 PV (M)6.817.087.35
Year 5 PV (M)7.718.098.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)236.56248.22260.32
Equity Value (M)265.55278.15291.23
Shares Outstanding (M)7.797.797.79
Fair Value$34.10$35.72$37.40
Upside / Downside255.98%272.87%290.41%

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