Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Itec Corporation (9964.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.02 - $0.03$0.02
Multi-Stage$0.02 - $0.02$0.02
Blended Fair Value$0.02
Current Price$2,697.00
Upside-100.00%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS-1.93%-0.33%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---31.20%-28.73%-9.42%74.42%17.11%2.58%13.14%52.90%-24.76%-20.13%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,190.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)707.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,482.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)838.06523.79314.27
Cash Retained (M)3,482.673,482.673,482.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-838.06-523.79-314.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,644.622,958.893,168.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,106,177.184,106,177.184,106,177.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.000.000.00
WACC / Discount Rate7.55%7.55%7.55%
Growth Rate2.55%3.55%4.55%
Fair Value$0.02$0.02$0.03
Upside / Downside-100.00%-100.00%-100.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,190.294,339.194,493.394,653.064,818.414,989.645,139.33
Payout Ratio16.89%31.51%46.13%60.75%75.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)707.611,367.262,072.902,826.963,631.994,490.684,753.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.55%7.55%7.55%
Growth Rate2.55%3.55%4.55%
Year 1 PV (M)1,259.061,271.341,283.61
Year 2 PV (M)1,757.791,792.241,827.02
Year 3 PV (M)2,207.522,272.722,339.20
Year 4 PV (M)2,611.712,715.072,821.48
Year 5 PV (M)2,973.623,121.463,275.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)69,258.5672,701.7676,280.56
Equity Value (M)80,068.2683,874.5987,827.00
Shares Outstanding (M)4,106,177.184,106,177.184,106,177.18
Fair Value$0.02$0.02$0.02
Upside / Downside-100.00%-100.00%-100.00%

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