Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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ASICS Corporation (7936.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - Footwear & AccessoriesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20,083.59 - $23,661.87$22,174.64
Multi-Stage$13,547.23 - $14,868.86$14,195.70
Blended Fair Value$18,185.17
Current Price$3,872.00
Upside369.66%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS26.27%16.25%20.3112.527.169.204.606.339.386.236.226.22
YoY Growth--62.24%74.85%-22.20%100.03%-27.30%-32.51%50.61%0.07%0.00%38.14%
Dividend Yield--0.65%0.72%0.76%1.55%1.04%2.53%2.48%1.26%1.39%1.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)85,180.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15,796.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)69,384.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17,036.0010,647.506,388.50
Cash Retained (M)69,384.0069,384.0069,384.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-17,036.00-10,647.50-6,388.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)52,348.0058,736.5062,995.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)715.93715.93715.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share73.1282.0487.99
LTM Dividend per Share22.0622.0622.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share73.1282.0487.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend95.18104.11110.06
WACC / Discount Rate2.43%2.43%2.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$20,083.59$22,174.64$23,661.87
Upside / Downside418.69%472.69%511.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)85,180.0090,716.7096,613.29102,893.15109,581.20116,703.98120,205.10
Payout Ratio18.54%32.84%47.13%61.42%75.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15,796.0029,787.2045,530.5163,194.6182,962.67105,033.58111,189.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.43%2.43%2.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)28,808.6929,081.7629,354.83
Year 2 PV (M)42,588.3043,399.4944,218.33
Year 3 PV (M)57,169.1458,810.2660,482.49
Year 4 PV (M)72,586.8975,378.3878,249.61
Year 5 PV (M)88,878.6693,171.5497,628.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,408,794.049,863,242.3110,335,083.38
Equity Value (M)9,698,825.7210,163,083.7210,645,017.35
Shares Outstanding (M)715.93715.93715.93
Fair Value$13,547.23$14,195.70$14,868.86
Upside / Downside249.88%266.62%284.01%

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