Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

SBT Ultrasonic Technology (688392.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$28.90 - $71.22$43.19
Multi-Stage$115.20 - $127.30$121.13
Blended Fair Value$82.16
Current Price$96.07
Upside-14.48%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.260.730.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---64.11%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.50%1.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)159.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)41.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)117.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)31.8919.9311.96
Cash Retained (M)117.93117.93117.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-31.89-19.93-11.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)86.0498.00105.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)112.75112.75112.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.760.870.94
LTM Dividend per Share0.370.370.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.760.870.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.131.241.31
WACC / Discount Rate1.84%1.84%1.84%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$28.90$43.19$71.22
Upside / Downside-69.92%-55.05%-25.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)159.45157.85156.27154.71153.16151.63156.18
Payout Ratio26.04%38.83%51.62%64.41%77.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)41.5261.2980.6799.66118.25136.47144.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.84%1.84%1.84%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)59.5860.1960.80
Year 2 PV (M)76.2277.7979.37
Year 3 PV (M)91.5394.3697.25
Year 4 PV (M)105.57109.95114.46
Year 5 PV (M)118.43124.60131.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,537.2613,190.1113,869.87
Equity Value (M)12,988.6013,656.9914,352.76
Shares Outstanding (M)112.75112.75112.75
Fair Value$115.20$121.13$127.30
Upside / Downside19.91%26.09%32.51%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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