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Crystalvue Medical Corporation (6527.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$127.46 - $348.33$196.68
Multi-Stage$123.07 - $134.79$128.82
Blended Fair Value$162.75
Current Price$85.80
Upside89.69%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS7.54%0.00%2.032.201.801.302.401.410.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---7.87%22.61%38.57%-46.03%70.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.47%2.63%2.55%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)139.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)57.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)82.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.8517.4110.45
Cash Retained (M)82.2682.2682.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.85-17.41-10.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)54.4064.8571.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25.7525.7525.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.112.522.79
LTM Dividend per Share2.212.212.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.112.522.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.334.735.00
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate3.60%4.60%5.60%
Fair Value$127.46$196.68$348.33
Upside / Downside48.55%129.23%305.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)139.27145.68152.37159.38166.71174.37179.60
Payout Ratio40.94%50.75%60.56%70.38%80.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)57.0273.9392.28112.16133.68156.93166.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate3.60%4.60%5.60%
Year 1 PV (M)68.3669.0269.68
Year 2 PV (M)78.9080.4381.98
Year 3 PV (M)88.6891.2793.91
Year 4 PV (M)97.72101.55105.49
Year 5 PV (M)106.08111.30116.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,729.762,864.083,003.63
Equity Value (M)3,169.503,317.653,471.41
Shares Outstanding (M)25.7525.7525.75
Fair Value$123.07$128.82$134.79
Upside / Downside43.44%50.14%57.10%

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