Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Daikin Industries,Ltd. (6367.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$63,751.89 - $185,982.66$174,292.99
Multi-Stage$25,549.56 - $27,960.15$26,732.74
Blended Fair Value$100,512.86
Current Price$17,080.00
Upside488.48%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS13.14%16.78%314.62259.64209.77169.76159.44169.71144.72134.71124.62114.55
YoY Growth--21.17%23.78%23.56%6.47%-6.05%17.27%7.43%8.09%8.79%71.74%
Dividend Yield--1.85%1.17%0.72%0.78%0.77%0.98%1.00%1.02%1.09%1.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)274,033.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)96,754.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)177,279.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)54,806.6034,254.1320,552.48
Cash Retained (M)177,279.00177,279.00177,279.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-54,806.60-34,254.13-20,552.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)122,472.40143,024.88156,726.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)293.03293.03293.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share417.95488.09534.85
LTM Dividend per Share330.19330.19330.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share417.95488.09534.85
(=) Adjusted Dividend748.14818.28865.04
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$63,751.89$174,292.99$185,982.66
Upside / Downside273.25%920.45%988.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)274,033.00291,845.15310,815.08331,018.06352,534.23375,448.96386,712.43
Payout Ratio35.31%46.25%57.18%68.12%79.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)96,754.00134,966.53177,737.91225,499.34278,718.80337,904.06357,709.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)125,259.20126,446.49127,633.78
Year 2 PV (M)153,090.12156,006.06158,949.50
Year 3 PV (M)180,258.56185,433.14190,705.81
Year 4 PV (M)206,776.15214,728.18222,907.39
Year 5 PV (M)232,654.33243,891.63255,558.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,588,724.296,906,962.147,237,379.70
Equity Value (M)7,486,762.677,833,467.648,193,135.18
Shares Outstanding (M)293.03293.03293.03
Fair Value$25,549.56$26,732.74$27,960.15
Upside / Downside49.59%56.51%63.70%

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