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Shanghai Daimay Automotive Interior Co., Ltd (603730.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.22 - $64.24$60.20
Multi-Stage$9.72 - $10.62$10.16
Blended Fair Value$35.18
Current Price$5.90
Upside496.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS19.21%19.71%0.270.250.190.150.110.110.110.050.090.04
YoY Growth--9.13%31.70%22.24%40.38%-2.37%-0.59%127.59%-45.01%105.61%-1.89%
Dividend Yield--4.12%3.67%2.25%3.18%1.74%2.32%2.22%0.79%1.35%0.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)623.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)590.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)33.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)124.7777.9846.79
Cash Retained (M)33.1533.1533.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-124.77-77.98-46.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)-91.62-44.83-13.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,931.311,931.311,931.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.05-0.02-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.310.310.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.05-0.02-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.260.280.30
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$26.22$60.20$64.24
Upside / Downside344.45%920.39%988.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)623.85664.40707.59753.58802.57854.73880.38
Payout Ratio94.69%93.75%92.81%91.87%90.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)590.70622.87656.73692.35729.83769.26814.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)579.15584.64590.13
Year 2 PV (M)567.76578.58589.49
Year 3 PV (M)556.55572.52588.80
Year 4 PV (M)545.49566.47588.05
Year 5 PV (M)534.60560.42587.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,988.3616,760.6117,562.40
Equity Value (M)18,771.9219,623.2420,506.11
Shares Outstanding (M)1,931.311,931.311,931.31
Fair Value$9.72$10.16$10.62
Upside / Downside64.74%72.21%79.96%

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