Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Beijing Teamsun Technology Co.,Ltd. (600410.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.05 - $2.70$2.39
Multi-Stage$3.99 - $4.42$4.20
Blended Fair Value$3.29
Current Price$19.12
Upside-82.78%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-16.02%-7.96%0.050.050.050.090.130.110.260.150.100.10
YoY Growth---2.82%-7.60%-43.20%-31.28%19.19%-57.14%77.40%46.91%-3.36%-3.28%
Dividend Yield--0.55%0.83%0.75%1.25%1.85%0.82%2.74%1.23%1.00%0.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)596.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)566.86
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)119.3074.5644.74
Cash Retained (M)566.86566.86566.86
(-) Cash Required (M)-119.30-74.56-44.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)447.56492.30522.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,096.491,096.491,096.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.410.450.48
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.410.450.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.440.480.50
WACC / Discount Rate9.17%9.17%9.17%
Growth Rate-9.96%-8.96%-7.96%
Fair Value$2.05$2.39$2.70
Upside / Downside-89.29%-87.51%-85.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)596.50543.03494.35450.04409.70372.97384.16
Payout Ratio4.97%21.98%38.98%55.99%72.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29.64119.33192.70251.96299.05335.67355.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.17%9.17%9.17%
Growth Rate-9.96%-8.96%-7.96%
Year 1 PV (M)108.10109.30110.50
Year 2 PV (M)158.14161.68165.25
Year 3 PV (M)187.32193.63200.08
Year 4 PV (M)201.40210.50219.90
Year 5 PV (M)204.79216.42228.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,510.923,710.273,918.58
Equity Value (M)4,370.684,601.804,842.88
Shares Outstanding (M)1,096.491,096.491,096.49
Fair Value$3.99$4.20$4.42
Upside / Downside-79.15%-78.05%-76.90%

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