Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Speed Tech Corp. (5457.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$396.82 - $467.53$438.14
Multi-Stage$279.31 - $306.58$292.69
Blended Fair Value$365.42
Current Price$40.25
Upside807.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.301.692.291.910.460.000.000.000.520.00
YoY Growth---82.46%-26.15%19.69%319.40%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.67%2.76%4.04%3.26%0.51%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.09%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)436.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)55.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)381.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)87.3254.5832.75
Cash Retained (M)381.47381.47381.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-87.32-54.58-32.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)294.15326.90348.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)185.72185.72185.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.581.761.88
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.581.761.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.882.062.17
WACC / Discount Rate1.53%1.53%1.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$396.82$438.14$467.53
Upside / Downside885.90%988.55%1,061.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)436.61464.99495.21527.40561.68598.19616.14
Payout Ratio12.63%28.10%43.58%59.05%74.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)55.14130.67215.80311.44418.60538.37569.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.53%1.53%1.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)127.50128.71129.92
Year 2 PV (M)205.44209.35213.30
Year 3 PV (M)289.28297.59306.05
Year 4 PV (M)379.37393.96408.97
Year 5 PV (M)476.07499.06522.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)50,397.1052,831.3055,358.66
Equity Value (M)51,874.7654,359.9756,939.83
Shares Outstanding (M)185.72185.72185.72
Fair Value$279.31$292.69$306.58
Upside / Downside593.94%627.19%661.70%

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