Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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3s Silicon Tech., Inc. (5297.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.95 - $23.18$18.76
Multi-Stage$26.85 - $29.46$28.13
Blended Fair Value$23.45
Current Price$38.45
Upside-39.02%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-1.06%0.00%0.630.330.000.200.330.660.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--89.65%0.00%-100.00%-40.00%-50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.19%2.10%0.00%1.62%3.55%6.78%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)55.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)34.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)21.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.166.974.18
Cash Retained (M)21.7521.7521.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.16-6.97-4.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)10.5914.7717.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)35.4835.4835.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.300.420.50
LTM Dividend per Share0.960.960.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.300.420.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.261.381.45
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate-0.81%0.19%1.19%
Fair Value$14.95$18.76$23.18
Upside / Downside-61.13%-51.21%-39.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)55.7955.9056.0056.1156.2156.3258.01
Payout Ratio61.02%66.82%72.61%78.41%84.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)34.0537.3540.6643.9947.3350.6953.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate-0.81%0.19%1.19%
Year 1 PV (M)34.3834.7335.08
Year 2 PV (M)34.4735.1635.87
Year 3 PV (M)34.3335.3836.45
Year 4 PV (M)34.0035.3936.83
Year 5 PV (M)33.5235.2437.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)781.96822.18864.04
Equity Value (M)952.65998.091,045.29
Shares Outstanding (M)35.4835.4835.48
Fair Value$26.85$28.13$29.46
Upside / Downside-30.16%-26.83%-23.37%

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