Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Chin Hin Group Berhad (5273.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.29 - $0.45$0.36
Multi-Stage$0.69 - $0.76$0.73
Blended Fair Value$0.55
Current Price$2.20
Upside-75.20%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-26.16%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%218.16%-49.58%-19.79%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.04%0.00%0.21%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)104.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.25
(=) Cash Retained (M)102.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)20.9213.077.84
Cash Retained (M)102.35102.35102.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-20.92-13.07-7.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)81.4389.2794.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,538.833,538.833,538.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.020.030.03
WACC / Discount Rate6.02%6.02%6.02%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.29$0.36$0.45
Upside / Downside-86.86%-83.41%-79.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)104.59103.55102.51101.49100.4799.47102.45
Payout Ratio2.15%19.72%37.29%54.86%72.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.2520.4238.2255.6772.7789.5294.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.02%6.02%6.02%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)19.0619.2619.45
Year 2 PV (M)33.3334.0134.70
Year 3 PV (M)45.3246.7248.15
Year 4 PV (M)55.3157.6159.97
Year 5 PV (M)63.5466.8470.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,229.972,346.092,467.00
Equity Value (M)2,446.542,570.542,699.57
Shares Outstanding (M)3,538.833,538.833,538.83
Fair Value$0.69$0.73$0.76
Upside / Downside-68.58%-66.98%-65.33%

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