Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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I-ne Co. Ltd. (4933.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,381.15 - $17,642.09$7,484.72
Multi-Stage$2,683.46 - $2,936.23$2,807.53
Blended Fair Value$5,146.13
Current Price$1,629.00
Upside215.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS23.52%0.00%12.880.000.000.000.004.480.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,620.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)226.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,394.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)524.00327.50196.50
Cash Retained (M)2,394.002,394.002,394.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-524.00-327.50-196.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,870.002,066.502,197.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.8517.8517.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share104.75115.75123.09
LTM Dividend per Share12.6612.6612.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share104.75115.75123.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend117.41128.41135.75
WACC / Discount Rate8.33%8.33%8.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$4,381.15$7,484.72$17,642.09
Upside / Downside168.95%359.47%983.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,620.002,790.302,971.673,164.833,370.543,589.633,697.32
Payout Ratio8.63%24.90%41.18%57.45%73.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)226.00694.811,223.601,818.212,484.943,230.663,420.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.33%8.33%8.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)635.37641.40647.42
Year 2 PV (M)1,023.221,042.711,062.39
Year 3 PV (M)1,390.401,430.311,470.98
Year 4 PV (M)1,737.711,804.541,873.27
Year 5 PV (M)2,065.952,165.732,269.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)41,054.2643,037.1945,096.02
Equity Value (M)47,906.9150,121.8852,419.42
Shares Outstanding (M)17.8517.8517.85
Fair Value$2,683.46$2,807.53$2,936.23
Upside / Downside64.73%72.35%80.25%

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