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Definitive Analysis

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USS Co., Ltd. (4732.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - DealershipsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,063.94 - $16,583.58$10,619.18
Multi-Stage$2,076.54 - $2,270.26$2,171.63
Blended Fair Value$6,395.41
Current Price$1,697.50
Upside276.75%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS8.80%7.39%41.6835.1236.6630.0930.3927.3426.3225.1323.6521.72
YoY Growth--18.67%-4.20%21.84%-1.02%11.18%3.88%4.71%6.26%8.88%6.32%
Dividend Yield--2.62%2.56%3.08%2.56%3.14%3.17%2.41%2.38%2.12%2.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)39,448.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)20,706.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)18,742.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7,889.604,931.002,958.60
Cash Retained (M)18,742.0018,742.0018,742.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-7,889.60-4,931.00-2,958.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)10,852.4013,811.0015,783.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)472.58472.58472.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share22.9629.2233.40
LTM Dividend per Share43.8143.8143.81
(+) Excess Retained per Share22.9629.2233.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend66.7873.0477.21
WACC / Discount Rate7.12%7.12%7.12%
Growth Rate5.39%6.39%7.39%
Fair Value$4,063.94$10,619.18$16,583.58
Upside / Downside139.41%525.58%876.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)39,448.0041,967.9544,648.8747,501.0650,535.4453,763.6655,376.57
Payout Ratio52.49%59.99%67.49%75.00%82.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)20,706.0025,177.2030,135.1435,623.7741,690.6648,387.2951,223.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.12%7.12%7.12%
Growth Rate5.39%6.39%7.39%
Year 1 PV (M)23,282.8523,503.7823,724.70
Year 2 PV (M)25,770.9826,262.3726,758.40
Year 3 PV (M)28,172.5728,982.1729,807.14
Year 4 PV (M)30,489.7831,663.5932,870.98
Year 5 PV (M)32,724.7034,307.0235,949.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)840,888.72881,547.93923,764.93
Equity Value (M)981,329.591,026,266.861,072,876.12
Shares Outstanding (M)472.58472.58472.58
Fair Value$2,076.54$2,171.63$2,270.26
Upside / Downside22.33%27.93%33.74%

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