Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SOFT99corporation (4464.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,474.52 - $5,273.26$3,519.20
Multi-Stage$3,385.02 - $3,715.93$3,547.34
Blended Fair Value$3,533.27
Current Price$1,611.00
Upside119.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020
DPS11.92%0.00%42.9039.7536.7637.9625.0324.420.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--7.91%8.15%-3.17%51.66%2.48%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.66%2.58%2.65%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,923.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)933.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,990.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)584.63365.39219.23
Cash Retained (M)1,990.111,990.111,990.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-584.63-365.39-219.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,405.481,624.721,770.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)21.5421.5421.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share65.2675.4482.23
LTM Dividend per Share43.3243.3243.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share65.2675.4482.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend108.59118.77125.55
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate2.01%3.01%4.01%
Fair Value$2,474.52$3,519.20$5,273.26
Upside / Downside53.60%118.45%227.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,923.133,011.143,101.793,195.183,291.373,390.473,492.18
Payout Ratio31.92%43.53%55.15%66.77%78.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)933.031,310.901,710.682,133.342,579.903,051.423,230.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate2.01%3.01%4.01%
Year 1 PV (M)1,219.091,231.041,242.99
Year 2 PV (M)1,479.451,508.601,538.03
Year 3 PV (M)1,715.771,766.721,818.68
Year 4 PV (M)1,929.612,006.392,085.44
Year 5 PV (M)2,122.432,228.522,338.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)64,432.3567,653.0071,001.16
Equity Value (M)72,898.7076,394.2780,025.11
Shares Outstanding (M)21.5421.5421.54
Fair Value$3,385.02$3,547.34$3,715.93
Upside / Downside110.12%120.19%130.66%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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