Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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FreeBit Co., Ltd. (3843.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Internet Content & InformationSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,236.25 - $26,962.82$15,133.04
Multi-Stage$3,128.56 - $3,424.06$3,273.60
Blended Fair Value$9,203.32
Current Price$1,517.00
Upside506.68%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS28.11%14.78%26.517.856.957.227.547.687.697.757.687.73
YoY Growth--237.72%12.97%-3.75%-4.28%-1.83%-0.06%-0.87%0.99%-0.69%15.73%
Dividend Yield--1.75%0.57%0.59%0.81%0.97%1.04%0.70%0.75%0.86%0.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,749.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)537.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,212.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)549.86343.66206.20
Cash Retained (M)2,212.302,212.302,212.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-549.86-343.66-206.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,662.441,868.632,006.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.2820.2820.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share81.9892.1598.93
LTM Dividend per Share26.4826.4826.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share81.9892.1598.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend108.46118.63125.41
WACC / Discount Rate7.33%7.33%7.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$6,236.25$15,133.04$26,962.82
Upside / Downside311.09%897.56%1,677.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,749.302,928.003,118.323,321.013,536.883,766.773,879.78
Payout Ratio19.53%33.63%47.72%61.81%75.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)537.00984.561,488.042,052.812,684.723,390.103,588.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.33%7.33%7.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)908.67917.28925.90
Year 2 PV (M)1,267.471,291.621,315.99
Year 3 PV (M)1,613.751,660.071,707.28
Year 4 PV (M)1,947.812,022.722,099.76
Year 5 PV (M)2,269.982,379.622,493.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)55,434.8558,112.3760,892.37
Equity Value (M)63,442.5366,383.6869,434.75
Shares Outstanding (M)20.2820.2820.28
Fair Value$3,128.56$3,273.60$3,424.06
Upside / Downside106.23%115.79%125.71%

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